Engineering
Mathematics
Conditional Probability

Question

Box 1 contains three cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3; box 2 contains five cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5; and box 3 contains seven cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A card is drawn from each of the boxes. Let xi be the number on the card drawn from the ith box, i = 1, 2, 3.

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Linked Question 1

The probability that x1 + x2 + x3 is odd, is

 29105

 12

 57105

 53105

Solution

x1 + x2 + x3

            I           0 + 0 + 0 = 0         

                        0    0     e = e

            II           0    e     e = 0

                        e    e     e = e

 

Total = 2 · 3 · 4 = 24

            IIst

                        0    e     e = 2 · 2 · 3 = 12

                        e    0     e = 1 · 3 · 3 = 9

                        e    e     0 = 1 · 2 · 4 = 8

                        Total = 29

                        Total = 29 + 24 = 53

                       533·5·7=53105

Linked Question 2

The probability that x1, x2, x3 are in an arithmetic progression, is

 11105

 7105

 10105

 9105

Solution

x1, x2, x3

2x2 = x1 + x3

2 = 2 × 1 = 1 + 1

4 = 2 × 2 = 1 + 3   /   2 + 2   /    3 + 1

6 = 2 × 3 = 1 + 5   /   2 + 4   /    3 + 3

8 = 2 × 4 = 1 + 7   /   2 + 6   /    3 + 5

10 = 2 × 5 = 3 + 7

Total cases = 11

 probability =11105.