Engineering
Mathematics
Conditional Probability
Question

Exactly one right ?

25

23

35

12

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Solution
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Given, In a multiple choice test there are five alternate options for first two question and 4 alternate options for third question.
The probability to do first question correctly, P(F1C)=15
The probability to do second question correctly, P(F2C)=15
The probability to do third question correctly, P(F3C)=14
Similarly,The probability to do first question wrong, P(F1U)=45
The probability to do second question wrong, P(F2U)=45
The probability to do third question wrong, P(F3U)=34
The probability to do exactly one question correctly=(Probability to do first question correct and rest wrong)+(Probability to do second question correct and rest wrong)+(Probability to do third question correct and rest wrong)

= (P(F1C) × P(F2U) × P(F3U)) + (P(F2C) × P(F1U) × P(F3U)) + (P(F3C) × P(F2U) × P(F1U))

=15×45×34+15×45×34+14×45×45

P=(3+3+4)25=25

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