Engineering
Mathematics
Conditional Probability
Question

In a maths paper there are 3 sections A, B & C. Section A is compulsory. Out of sections B & C a student has to attempt any one. Passing in the paper means passing in A & passing in B or C. The probability of the student passing in A, B & C are p, q & 1 / 2 respectively. If the probability that the student is successful is 1 / 2 then, which of the following is false

p = q = 1

p = q = 1 / 2

p = 1, q = 0

p = 1, q = 1 / 2

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Solution
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Let the events A, B, C are the sections in which students pass.

P(A)=p, P(B)=q, P(C)=12

The student will be successful if he able to pass the section A and either of section B or Section C = (Probability of passing in A) \times (Probability of selecting either of section B or C \times (Probability of passing B + Probability of passing C)) =P(A)×12×(P(B)+P(C))=p×12×q+12=pq2+p4

But Probability that student is successful in the exam =12

12=pq2+p4

⇒ 2pq + p = 2

From the given option only Option 4 i.e., p = 1, q=12 satisfies the equation.

Hence, options 1, 2, 3 are wrong.

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