Of the three independent events E1, E2 and E3, the probability that only E1 occurs is , only E2 occurs is and only E3 occurs is . Let the probability p that none of events E1, E2 or E3 occurs satisfy the equations ( –2) p = and ( – 3) p = 2.
All the given probabilities are assumed to lie in the interval (0, 1).
Then
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Let the probability of occurrence of event E1, E2 and E3 are a, b and c.
P(E1) = a, P(E2) = b and P(E3) = c
Given,
P (only E1 occur) = = a (1 – b) (1 – c) ……. (1)
P (only E2 occur) = = (1 – a) b (1 – c) ……. (2)
P (only E3 occur) = = (1 – a) (1 – b) c ……. (3)
P (none of event occur) = p =
P = (1 – a) (1 – b) (1 – c) …….(4)
Given, ( – 2) p =
Put value of p, from equation (1), (2), (3) and (4)
…….(5)
Given,
Put value of and p, we get
…….(6)
From (5) and (6), we get = 6.
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